| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.500 to 160.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.750 to 160.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 161.000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.749 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on March 17, 2026. The USD/JPY level at that timestamp matters because it reflects monetary policy expectations, cross-border capital flows, and can influence import/export prices and risk management decisions.
USD/JPY is historically sensitive to differences in U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, global risk sentiment, and occasional official intervention by Japanese authorities. Since the yen is widely used as a funding currency, shifts in interest rate differentials, liquidity conditions, and major economic releases often drive sharp moves in the pair. Market participants also watch central bank communications and geopolitical events for information that can change FX positioning rapidly.
Prediction market odds summarize the collective view of traders about which outcome is most likely at the settlement timestamp and update as new information arrives. Use the market prices as a real-time gauge of consensus and risk sentiment, while treating them as an input rather than a definitive forecast.
Settlement is based on the USD/JPY spot rate at 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on March 17, 2026 as determined by the platform's published settlement procedures; check the event rules for the official data source and any tie-breaking methods.
Major U.S. releases such as employment and inflation prints, as well as Japanese inflation, trade, and industrial production data and any central bank minutes or rate decisions in that window, are key movers—monitor the economic calendar for exact publication times.
The 10:00 AM EDT settlement time falls during different local trading sessions across markets; traders should convert the timestamp to their local time and be aware that Asian-session liquidity and Tokyo market hours can make prices more sensitive to local flows around that moment.
Yes. Authorities can intervene in the FX market at any time, and a credible intervention or public announcement beforehand can move the spot rate that will be used for settlement; such interventions are platform-agnostic and will show up in the market price.
Map out scenario-based outcomes you think are plausible given monetary policy, macro releases, and risk events; compare those scenarios to the market's distribution, size positions consistent with your conviction and risk limits, and remain prepared to adjust as new information arrives.