| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 to 160.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.750 to 160.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 161.000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.500 to 160.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.749 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at exactly 10:00 AM EDT on March 16, 2026. It matters because short‑term FX levels reflect market views on interest rates, macro data, and risk sentiment that can affect traders, exporters, and macro hedgers.
USD/JPY is driven by the interest rate differential between the United States and Japan, Bank of Japan policy, and global risk appetite; historical moves often accelerate around central bank communication and major macro releases. Yen behavior has also been influenced in past years by Japan’s intervention risk and large cross‑border flows, so markets pay close attention to official comments and liquidity conditions around the event timestamp.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders’ expectations about which price range will apply at the specified timestamp; they update as new information arrives and should be read as market-implied views rather than guarantees of future price outcomes.
Settlement uses the reference USD/JPY rate applicable at the exact timestamp specified by the market—typically a consolidated interbank or vendor quote per the platform's rules; the outcome containing that reference price is paid out. Consult the market's rule page for the named data source and rounding conventions.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price interval (a range of USD/JPY levels) that covers the possible settlement price; the label on each outcome shows that interval and the winning outcome is the one whose interval contains the reference rate at 10:00 AM EDT.
Yes — any market‑moving announcement delivered before or at the settlement timestamp can shift the USD/JPY level that determines the winning interval; only the price at the specified 10:00 AM EDT moment is used for settlement, so last‑minute moves matter.
Low or zero reported volume indicates limited trading activity so far, which can mean wider spreads, reduced information content in prices, and higher execution impact for new trades; low liquidity increases model and execution risk when relying on market odds.
Track scheduled U.S. data releases (inflation, payrolls), Fed communications, BOJ policy statements or speeches, Japanese macro releases (CPI, trade data), U.S. Treasury yield moves, major equity market swings, and any credible reports or rumors of FX intervention—all can materially influence the rate by the settlement time.