| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155.999 or below | 7% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $282 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 21% | 17¢ | 23¢ | — | $278 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 20% | 14¢ | 21¢ | — | $62 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 19% | 7¢ | 17¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 16% | 3¢ | 13¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| 159.250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 156.000 to 156.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.250 to 156.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.750 to 156.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 156.500 to 156.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 0% | 10¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 0% | 5¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.000 to 157.249 | 0% | 1¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks where the USD/JPY exchange rate will be at 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time on March 11, 2026, a snapshot that matters because FX levels influence import/export costs, investor portfolios, and central-bank policy considerations.
USD/JPY is one of the world’s most liquid currency pairs and is driven by interest-rate differentials, central-bank policy, and cross-border capital flows. Since the early 2020s, episodes of policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, frequent market positioning, and occasional intervention considerations have been recurring influences on the pair.
Prediction market prices indicate collective market sentiment about which discrete price interval will contain the spot rate at the settlement timestamp; they provide a real-time gauge of expectations rather than a guaranteed outcome.
The event will resolve to the USD/JPY spot rate at exactly 10:00 AM EDT on March 11, 2026 as reported by the market's designated price source; consult the event page for the named data provider and any rounding or tie-breaking rules.
The 15 outcomes partition the possible USD/JPY values at the settlement timestamp into mutually exclusive intervals or levels as defined on the event page; outcome labels contain the exact numeric bounds you should reference when evaluating positions.
Yes — any market-moving data or announcement that changes the spot rate before the timestamp will be reflected in the settlement price; short-window volatility immediately before 10:00 AM EDT can therefore determine which outcome resolves.
Resolution follows the platform's published fallback rules: typically the designated price source will still provide a rate or the market operator will apply contingency procedures; check the event’s rulebook for specifics on disputes and fallbacks.
Key movers include central banks (Federal Reserve and BOJ) through policy signals, the Japanese Finance Ministry if intervention is considered, large FX dealers and institutional flow, and broader market participants reacting to risk-off or risk-on developments.