| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156.999 or below | 13% | 15¢ | 20¢ | — | $282 | Trade → |
| 157.750 to 157.999 | 19% | 14¢ | 17¢ | — | $196 | Trade → |
| 158.000 to 158.249 | 16% | 9¢ | 12¢ | — | $78 | Trade → |
| 157.500 to 157.749 | 20% | 14¢ | 18¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| 157.250 to 157.499 | 13% | 14¢ | 20¢ | — | $31 | Trade → |
| 158.500 to 158.749 | 18% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 158.250 to 158.499 | 8% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 159.000 to 159.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 158.750 to 158.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 160.000 to 160.249 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.500 to 159.749 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 157.000 to 157.249 | 0% | 7¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.750 to 159.999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 159.250 to 159.499 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which USD/JPY price range will hold at 10:00 AM EDT on March 10, 2026; it matters because USD/JPY is a key barometer of global rate differentials, risk sentiment, and central-bank policy. Traders use such markets to express views on near-term FX moves and macro developments.
USD/JPY is driven by the interplay between U.S. and Japanese monetary policy, global risk sentiment, and occasional direct intervention by Japanese authorities. In the lead-up to March 10, 2026, participants will weigh recent Fed and BOJ communications, macro releases, and any portfolio flows; this particular market currently lists 15 discrete outcomes and shows modest trading volume, indicating limited liquidity.
Market prices reflect collective views about which outcome is most likely to be true at the specified timestamp, but they are not guarantees — prices move with new information and changing order flow. Use the odds as a real-time snapshot of market consensus, and consult the event rules for settlement details.
Settlement is based on the official USD/JPY exchange-rate observation specified in the event rules; consult the event page to see the exact data vendor, whether it uses a spot mid-rate or last trade, and the precise timestamp window used for settlement.
The event page will list the trading close and settlement schedule; if it currently shows 'Closes: TBD', check the event rules or platform notices for any updates and the post-event settlement window after the March 10, 2026 timestamp.
Each of the 15 outcomes corresponds to a mutually exclusive price interval or specified price point defined on the market page; review the outcome descriptions on the event to see the exact numeric boundaries and ensure you understand which interval matches your view.
Look at recent Fed and BOJ policy shifts, episodes of yen intervention, big macro surprises in the U.S. and Japan, and prior USD/JPY moves around comparable policy announcements or global risk events to gauge probable reaction patterns.
Participants include FX spot desks, macro hedge funds, carry-trade unwinds, corporate hedgers, and occasionally central-bank actions; large order flow from any of these groups or a credible central-bank intervention can move the exchange rate and thus determine which outcome settles.