| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $810.00 to 834.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $660.00 to 684.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1360.00 to 1384.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1410.00 to 1434.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $860.00 to 884.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $785.00 to 809.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1260.00 to 1284.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1385.00 to 1409.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $610.00 to 634.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $835.00 to 859.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $585.00 to 609.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $760.00 to 784.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1085.00 to 1109.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1310.00 to 1334.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1235.00 to 1259.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $635.00 to 659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1060.00 to 1084.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1035.00 to 1059.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $685.00 to 709.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1285.00 to 1309.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $560.00 to 584.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1160.00 to 1184.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1110.00 to 1134.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $710.00 to 734.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1210.00 to 1234.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $935.00 to 959.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1435.00 to 1459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1185.00 to 1209.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| below $535.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $535.00 to 559.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $735.00 to 759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $910.00 to 934.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $885.00 to 909.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $960.00 to 984.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $985.00 to 1009.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1010.00 to 1034.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1135.00 to 1159.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1335.00 to 1359.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $1484.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1460.00 to 1484.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the reported steel price will be at 5:00 PM EDT on March 31, 2026; it matters to traders, industrial buyers, and risk managers who have exposure to steel price movement around that timestamp. Outcomes provide a snapshot of market expectations for the published benchmark or index chosen for settlement.
Steel prices reflect a mix of durable-goods demand (construction, automotive, machinery), primary production and scrap availability, and global trade flows—with China a particularly large swing factor. Over multi‑year horizons prices have responded to cycles in infrastructure spending, inventory adjustments, commodity input costs (iron ore, coking coal, scrap), supply disruptions, and changes in trade policy.
Market odds on the platform represent how participants collectively price each discrete outcome given current information and risk preferences; movement in odds signals new information or changes in positioning, not guaranteed future performance.
The event’s official settlement source and series are specified in the market details on the platform; consult the event description or rules page to see the named benchmark vendor and the precise contract/series that will determine settlement.
The market’s 40 outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive price bins or discrete price points defined on the event page; each outcome represents the published benchmark falling within that specific bin at the settlement timestamp—check the event’s outcome list for exact boundaries and labeling.
The listed close time is shown on the event page; if the close is labeled TBD, the platform will update that field before trading ends—always monitor the event page for the final trading cutoff and any announcements about changes.
Settlement procedures and any fallback rules (for delayed or missing publications) are documented in the event’s settlement rules; typical approaches include using the closest available published value, a specified averaging window, or the last reported trade from the named data source—refer to the contract text for the exact fallback hierarchy.
Examples of high‑impact events include major policy announcements from Chinese authorities affecting production or consumption, large mine or mill outages at top producers, new tariffs or trade restrictions affecting steel flows, unexpected swings in iron‑ore or coking‑coal supply, and major macro developments (e.g., rapid changes in global growth expectations or energy shocks) that materially alter demand or production costs.