| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 28% | 21¢ | 27¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 6,474.9999 or below | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 8% | 15¢ | 22¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 36% | 45¢ | 52¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | — | $765 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 12% | 2¢ | 9¢ | — | $505 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $326 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 9% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $248 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $190 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $176 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 7% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $149 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $142 | Trade → |
| 7,050 to 7,074.9999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $98 | Trade → |
| 7,075 to 7,099.9999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $97 | Trade → |
| 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $97 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $39 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 to 7,149.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 to 7,174.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 to 7,124.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range the S&P 500 will be in at 4:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026. It matters because the closing level summarizes market reaction to news, liquidity, and end-of-day flows for that specific timestamp.
The market offers 30 discrete outcome ranges for the S&P index level at the specified close time; total reported volume so far is low ($2) and the official trading close time is listed as TBD. The S&P 500 level at market close aggregates broad equity performance and is sensitive to scheduled macro releases, corporate news, and trading dynamics on that day. Short-term range markets like this provide a way to express and trade views about a precise intraday endpoint rather than longer-term direction.
Market prices reflect the community’s evolving beliefs about which of the 30 ranges will contain the official 4:00 PM EDT S&P level; higher prices signal stronger market support for an outcome. Treat those prices as real-time signals that update as new information arrives, not as guarantees.
The winning outcome will be the range that contains the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM EDT on Mar 9, 2026 as reported by the platform’s specified data source; consult the event page for the designated index feed and settlement rules.
The market listing is live; the platform will publish the official trading-close time and any special trading windows—check the event page close to the date for final hours and any early halts or modifications.
Low volume indicates limited liquidity and that quoted prices may be driven by very few trades; that increases execution risk and the likelihood that prices can move sharply on small new orders.
Monitor the economic calendar and central bank communications for releases and speeches on or before Mar 9, major earnings and corporate announcements for S&P constituents, and any known rebalancings or expiration schedules that could concentrate flows toward the close.
The platform’s resolution rules specify whether range endpoints are inclusive; consult the event’s official rules on the platform. If ambiguity remains, the exchange’s dispute and resolution procedures govern the final outcome.