| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,124.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 to 6,149.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 to 6,174.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 to 6,199.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 to 6,224.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 to 6,249.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 to 6,274.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 to 6,299.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P 500 index will be in at the market close (4:00 pm EDT) on March 30, 2026. It matters because settling to the close captures the market’s consensus about that specific moment and can be used to hedge or express views on end-of-day risk.
The outcome reflects the S&P 500 index level at the regular U.S. equity close on that date; outcomes are divided into 30 distinct buckets that cover a continuous price range. Context going into late March often includes quarter‑end portfolio rebalancing, any scheduled macroeconomic releases, corporate news and the cumulative impact of monetary policy expectations over the prior weeks.
Market prices for each outcome represent the crowd’s real‑time view about which bucket will contain the closing S&P level; they update as new information arrives and as traders adjust positions. Interpret odds as a condensed signal of market sentiment and liquidity, not a guarantee of any single outcome.
Settlement will use the official S&P 500 index level at the regular market close as specified by the market operator’s settlement rules; check the event page for the exact reference feed and methodology used for final settlement.
The 30 outcomes are consecutive, non‑overlapping price ranges that together cover a broad span of possible closing index values; the event page lists the precise boundaries for each bucket so traders can see which range corresponds to each outcome.
Trading typically opens when the market is listed and remains available until the market’s designated close time; because this event’s closing time is listed as TBD, monitor the event page for the announced trading cut‑off, after which positions are locked and no further trades are accepted.
Low or zero volume can mean limited liquidity, wider implicit execution costs, and greater price sensitivity to individual orders; consider order size, potential slippage, and the event’s order book depth before trading.
Key items include any U.S. economic releases and Fed communications timed near that date, large earnings or guidance from major S&P constituents, institutional rebalancing at month/quarter end, and options/futures expiries that can create end‑of‑day positioning pressure.