| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,249.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 to 6,274.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 to 6,299.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which S&P 500 price range will contain the index at 4:00pm EDT on March 27, 2026. It matters because it lets traders and observers express views about the S&P's exact end-of-day level at a specific timestamp, capturing intraday and closing dynamics.
The market lists 30 discrete outcome ranges for the S&P index close at that timestamp; at publication total traded volume is shown as $0 and the official market close time is listed as TBD. Late-March dates commonly interact with month- and quarter-end portfolio flows, scheduled economic releases, and any corporate earnings or policy communications around that time, all of which can drive intra-day moves and closing-price outcomes.
Prices in this prediction market reflect the collective view of participants and update in real time as new information arrives. Treat market prices as a snapshot of crowd expectations and liquidity rather than definitive forecasts; they move with news, order flow, and changing risk sentiment.
The market is divided into 30 mutually exclusive price-range outcomes, each covering a contiguous span of the S&P index value at 4:00pm EDT on Mar 27, 2026; each contract settles true if the official index value at that timestamp falls inside that outcome's numeric band and false otherwise. Consult the market page for the exact numeric endpoints of each listed range.
Trading typically opens when the market is listed on the platform and remains open until the platform-specified close; 'Closes: TBD' means the precise trading-closure time has not been finalized or published yet, so traders should monitor the market page or platform announcements for the official cutoff.
Major data releases and central bank communications alter expectations for interest rates and growth, which can shift equity valuations and intraday flows; releases that surprise expectations are likeliest to cause abrupt moves toward different outcome bands, while quiet newsflow favors continuation of existing intraday trends.
Yes—earnings and guidance from the largest S&P 500 constituents have outsized index impact; a strong surprise from several mega-cap names can lift the index into a higher range, while disappointing results can push it lower. Focus on the earnings calendar for top-weighted companies in the index in the days leading to Mar 27.
Watch exchange closing‑auction schedules, unusual order-book imbalances, changes in options or futures expiries nearby, and any public market interruptions or data-feed issues; these factors can concentrate volume and create outsized price moves at or just before the 4:00pm settlement time.