| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,199.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 to 6,224.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 to 6,249.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 to 6,274.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 to 6,299.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P index will be in at 4:00pm EDT on March 26, 2026; it matters because the end-of-day level is a common reference for trading, risk management, and settlement of derivatives.
The S&P (commonly the S&P 500 index) aggregates large-cap U.S. equity performance and is driven by macro policy, corporate earnings, and investor sentiment. Late March often coincides with quarterly earnings and key economic releases that can shift market positioning ahead of the close. Market-wide liquidity, index composition changes, and geopolitical developments also contribute to end-of-day moves.
Market prices for each outcome aggregate participants' views and new information in real time; they can be used to compare how likely the market collectively expects different end-of-day ranges to be. These prices update as news, data, and order flow arrive up to the platform's trading cut-off.
The contract resolves to the official S&P index level at 16:00:00 Eastern on Mar 26, 2026 as published by the market data provider named in the contract; check the market rules for the precise index name and source.
The 30 outcomes partition the possible index values on Mar 26 into contiguous, mutually exclusive intervals; the exact numeric boundaries for each interval are shown on the market page and in the contract specifications.
Resolution occurs at 4:00pm EDT on Mar 26, 2026; the platform may set a trading cut-off time before that or implement early halts—check the market page for the live trading close and any platform notices.
The market's resolution rules describe contingencies—common approaches include using an alternate official data source, waiting for a restored published value, or applying a predefined fallback procedure; consult the event's contract rules for the specific resolution method.
Focus on timing: releases before 4pm can be priced into the index by the close, while releases after 4pm will not affect the settlement level. Consider likely magnitude and market reaction, as large-cap surprises can move the index materially between publication and the close.