| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,249.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 to 6,299.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 to 6,274.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range the S&P 500 index will fall into at 4:00pm EDT on March 23, 2026. It matters because it captures market expectations for the index at a specific settlement moment and can help traders express views on near-term S&P direction and volatility.
The market resolves to the S&P 500 index level at the close time on March 23, 2026, using the official index value published by major market data providers. The listing has 30 discrete outcomes representing adjacent price intervals; because total volume traded is shown as $0 currently and the market close is TBD, liquidity and price discovery may change as the event approaches. Market-moving context in the weeks before resolution — such as earnings, Fed guidance, and macro releases — is especially relevant to this event.
Prediction market prices reflect the market-implied likelihood that the official S&P 500 closing level will fall into each predefined range; interpret prices as market consensus about which interval will contain the index at the stated time, not as guarantees of where the index will end up.
The market uses the official S&P 500 index level reported at 4:00pm EDT on March 23, 2026; the winning outcome is the predefined price interval that contains that published index level.
The 30 outcomes are contiguous, non-overlapping price intervals that together cover the market's specified range. After the index level at 4:00pm EDT is published, the single interval that contains that value is declared the winning outcome and pays out accordingly.
The trading close is platform-specified and currently listed as TBD; resolution occurs at 4:00pm EDT on March 23, 2026 when the official S&P 500 level for that time is available. Check the event page for the platform's announced trading cutoff and any last-trade deadlines.
If trading halts or the exchange publishes a delayed or adjusted close, the platform will apply its published resolution policy—typically using the official index level as reported for the resolution time or an alternative official data point if the primary source is unavailable; consult the platform's dispute and settlement rules for specific contingency handling.
Prediction market prices reflect collective expectations for the official index level at a precise timestamp and can diverge from futures or ETF quotes due to differences in settlement definitions, trading hours, and participant composition; use futures and ETF prices as additional information but remember the market resolves to the index value defined by the event's settlement rules.