| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,299.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P 500 will be in at 4:00 pm EDT on March 20, 2026; it matters for traders and hedgers who want to express or manage views on the index at the official close that day.
The S&P 500 level at a given close reflects the combined effects of macroeconomic data, monetary policy expectations, corporate earnings and sector-specific news in the run-up to that snapshot. Events between now and March 20 — including scheduled data releases, earnings cycles, geopolitical developments and shifts in market liquidity — can all change the likely range for the index at the close.
Market prices on this contract represent the consensus of participants about which range the S&P 500 will sit in at 4:00 pm EDT on the settlement date; those prices move as new information arrives and should be read alongside fundamental and technical analysis.
Settlement is based on the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 pm EDT on the specified date as reported by the index administrator or the data feed designated in the market rules; consult the event's rule page for the precise data source and tie-break procedures.
The platform's contingency and resolution rules specify alternatives (for example, using the last published official close or a referenced substitute timestamp); check the event's rules or contact support for the exact fallback method.
The event references the official cash-index snapshot at 4:00 pm EDT; after-hours trading and futures levels do not change that snapshot unless the market's published rules state a different settlement convention.
Trading windows are controlled by the platform and may open well before the settlement date and close at a platform-specified cutoff; because this event lists 'Closes: TBD', check the live event page for the current trade cutoff and any last-trade deadlines.
Official index methodology adjusts for corporate actions (splits, dividends, reconstitutions) so the published index level reflects those adjustments; large constituent news can move the index level materially, and such moves will be reflected in the official 4:00 pm index number used for settlement.