| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,349.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P 500 will be in at 4:00 PM EDT on March 19, 2026; it matters because that time is the regular U.S. equity market close and is a common reference point for portfolios and options. Traders use these markets to express views on near-term market direction or hedge intraday or close-of-day exposures.
The S&P 500 reflects the aggregated market value of large U.S. companies and is sensitive to macro data, corporate earnings, and policy decisions. Mid-March can be active for markets due to scheduled economic releases and central bank communications, while company-specific news and risk events in the days leading up to March 19 will also drive price moves. This event uses discrete price-range outcomes rather than a single-point forecast, so it captures a set of possible closing windows.
Market odds in this context indicate how traders are positioned across the available price-range outcomes; higher odds imply more market interest in that range but do not guarantee the final settlement. Use odds as a measure of collective sentiment and liquidity rather than a precise prediction.
The outcome is determined by the official S&P 500 index value at 4:00:00 PM EDT on March 19, 2026 as published by the index provider; whichever predefined price range contains that value is the settled outcome.
This market offers 30 mutually exclusive price-range buckets that partition possible S&P 500 closing levels for the specified timestamp; each outcome corresponds to one distinct range so only one outcome can settle as true.
The scheduled close for this market is listed as TBD; if trading or settlement timing is changed by the platform, updates will be posted in the event’s rules and any amended settlement procedure will take precedence.
Both types of information matter: intraday news can cause abrupt moves into a different range just before the 4:00 PM close, while developments earlier in the week set the underlying trend and positioning that influence how the market reacts to intraday headlines.
Settlement follows the index provider’s published official close used by the platform; if a revision occurs, the event’s documented settlement rules determine whether the revised value or the initial published value is used, and the platform will communicate any exception handling.