| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,324.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which S&P 500 price range will contain the index level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026, which matters because it ties expectations about that exact settlement moment to tradable outcomes.
The S&P 500 level at a single timestamp reflects a mix of macro news, corporate earnings, and intraday market dynamics. Markets around mid‑March often price in quarterly earnings, economic releases, and any proximate central bank communications that could move equity prices.
Prediction market prices express traders' collective expectations about which discrete price-range outcome will hold at settlement; interpret those prices as signals about relative likelihoods, not exact forecasts.
The settlement uses the index value at 4:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 18, 2026; consult the market's official rules on the platform to confirm whether that is the timestamp and whether any precise vendor feed is specified.
This market offers 30 discrete outcomes, each representing a non-overlapping price interval; the market page lists the exact interval boundaries and their granularity.
The event currently shows a closing time of 'TBD'; the platform will publish a definitive trading close time or rule prior to settlement—monitor the market page for updates.
Resolution is based on the reference data source specified in the market's rulebook; check the market details to see which exchange consolidated tape or index provider will be the official source for settlement.
The platform's resolution policy governs such contingencies—common procedures include using the last available official print, applying a backup data source, postponing resolution, or following a tie-breaking rule; confirm the precise fallback rules in the market documentation.