| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,299.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 to 6,374.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 to 6,349.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 to 6,324.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P 500 index will fall into at 4:00 PM EDT on March 16, 2026. It matters because it lets traders express views on where the index will close at that specific timestamp and provides a way to hedge or speculate on near-term market outcomes.
The S&P 500 is a widely followed market-cap-weighted index of large U.S. companies; its level at a given time reflects aggregate equity prices, macroeconomic expectations, and investor sentiment. Markets in March can be influenced by scheduled economic releases, central bank commentary, corporate reports and any evolving geopolitical or credit events; this market isolates the index level at a single end-of-day timestamp rather than a multi-day average.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregate trading interest across the available price-range outcomes and update as participants buy and sell positions. They should be read as a dynamic market signal of traders' collective expectations and willingness to commit capital to specific ranges, not as fixed forecasts.
The winning outcome is determined by the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 16, 2026 as specified in the contract terms; consult the event page for the designated data vendor and any tie-resolution rules.
The 30 outcomes correspond to contiguous price intervals (bins) that partition possible S&P 500 values at settlement; the event page or contract specifications list the exact numerical edges and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive.
The event lists a close time as TBD — the platform will publish the specific trading deadline on the event page; close times are set by the market operator and can be updated there, so check the page before placing trades.
The contract’s settlement rules define fallback procedures (for example, using the most recent verifiable index print, an alternate data vendor, or a resettlement rule); review the event’s settlement and force-majeure provisions on the platform for exact procedures.
Monitor the economic calendar for scheduled releases, central bank statements, major corporate earnings and press releases, real-time market data (index and futures prices), and news wires for geopolitical or systemic events — all of which can shift the index level before 4:00 PM EDT.