| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 4% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 1% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $68 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 20% | 17¢ | 18¢ | — | $59 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 19% | 13¢ | 19¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 7% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 7¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 11¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 1¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,374.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 to 7,074.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 to 6,474.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 9¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 5¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 to 6,449.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 to 6,424.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 to 6,399.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the S&P 500 will be in at 4:00 pm EDT on March 10, 2026; it matters because it offers a way to express and trade views on near-term equity market outcomes tied to a concrete moment in time.
The market sits at the intersection of macroeconomic news, corporate earnings, monetary policy expectations, and intraday market dynamics that will unfold before and on March 10, 2026. Historical context: short-term S&P moves around fixed timestamps are often driven by scheduled data releases, central-bank commentary, end-of-day flows and any surprise geopolitical or corporate developments that occur in the lead-up.
Prediction market odds reflect the market consensus about which discrete price range will contain the S&P at the specified settlement time; treat odds as a dynamic, crowd-sourced signal of relative likelihood across the listed ranges rather than a fixed forecast.
Settlement is based on the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 pm EDT on March 10, 2026 as reported by the index administrator or the market's specified price source; consult the market rules page for the precise data feed used.
The 30 outcomes partition the possible S&P 500 index values at the settlement timestamp into adjacent, non-overlapping price ranges; the market description on the event page lists the exact numeric boundaries for each outcome.
A final trade cutoff is set by the platform and may be published or updated on the event page; in practice, trading typically stops at or before the settlement time, but you should monitor the market page for any announced close time or platform notices.
Tie-breaking rules are defined by the market operator — common approaches include predefined inclusive/exclusive boundaries or using the next available tick — so check the event's settlement rules for the exact procedure.
Look for major indicators such as inflation or employment reports, central-bank announcements or minutes, large-cap earnings dates, and any options expiries clustered near that date, since these can materially change investor positioning and intraday volatility ahead of the 4pm settlement.