| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,474.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 to 7,074.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 to 7,099.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 to 7,124.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 to 7,149.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 to 7,174.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the closing price range of the S&P 500 index on April 17, 2026, serving as a barometer for market sentiment regarding long-term economic stability. It provides a structured way to hedge against or speculate on equity market volatility over a two-year horizon.
The S&P 500 is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 large-cap US companies and serves as the primary benchmark for the American stock market. Price ranges for this index are influenced by long-term cycles of monetary policy, corporate earnings growth, and geopolitical stability. Historical data shows that index ranges are highly sensitive to interest rate environments and structural shifts in the global economy.
Market prices represent the collective estimation of traders regarding the likelihood of the index falling into specific valuation brackets by the expiration date. Higher prices in this market indicate a greater consensus that the index will settle within the selected range.
The outcome is determined by the official closing value of the S&P 500 index as reported by standard financial data providers at 4:00 PM EDT on April 17, 2026.
The extended time horizon necessitates accounting for cyclical economic shifts, potential recessions, and long-term capital allocation trends rather than short-term market noise.
No, this market tracks the price index of the S&P 500, which reflects the market value of the underlying companies, excluding dividend payments.
In the event of an unscheduled market closure on the expiration date, the settlement typically relies on the final available closing price immediately preceding the closure.
The price ranges are fixed at the creation of the market and remain constant throughout the duration of the contract to ensure participants are trading against consistent benchmarks.