| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,474.9999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 to 6,499.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 to 6,524.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 to 6,549.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 to 6,574.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 to 6,599.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 to 6,624.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 to 6,649.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 to 6,674.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 to 6,699.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 to 6,724.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 to 6,749.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 to 6,774.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 to 6,799.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 to 6,824.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 to 6,849.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 to 6,874.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 to 6,899.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 to 6,924.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 to 6,949.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 to 6,974.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 to 6,999.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 to 7,024.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 to 7,049.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 to 7,074.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 to 7,099.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 to 7,124.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 to 7,149.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 to 7,174.9999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the closing price range of the S&P 500 index on April 13, 2026. It serves as a sentiment barometer for long-term equity market performance and investor expectations regarding future volatility.
The S&P 500 is a float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that serves as a primary benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. stock market. Movements in this index are driven by a complex interplay of macroeconomic indicators, monetary policy, and corporate earnings growth. Analysts monitor this index to gauge long-term trends in investor confidence and the broader economic climate.
The odds reflect the collective market expectation for where the S&P 500 will settle by the specified date, aggregating information from a wide range of market participants.
The price must be captured at 4:00 PM EDT on April 13, 2026, consistent with the standard market close.
If the markets are closed on that date, the settlement typically relies on the price from the most recent preceding trading day.
Higher interest rates generally increase borrowing costs and discount future earnings, which can apply downward pressure on equity valuations.
No, this market tracks the price index of the S&P 500, which does not account for dividend reinvestments.
The market is divided into discrete price buckets; the contract pays out if the index's official closing value falls within the chosen range.