| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,625 or above | 99% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $120 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 99% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $60 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 30% | 30¢ | 57¢ | — | $58 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 51% | 50¢ | 76¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 86% | 58¢ | 86¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 83% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 90¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 90¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 90¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 10¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P price will be at the official 4:00 pm EST close on March 6, 2026; it lets traders express views on that specific end-of-day level and is useful for hedging or speculating on near-term market moves.
The S&P close reflects the cumulative effect of macro releases, central bank guidance, corporate earnings, and intraday news up to the close. Market conditions in early March—including scheduled economic data and any earnings from large constituents—will provide the immediate background for this settlement.
Market odds aggregate participants' beliefs about which discrete price outcome will be the official close; they update as new information arrives and should be interpreted as the market consensus at a point in time rather than a guaranteed forecast.
The winning outcome will be determined by the official S&P price used by the platform's settlement provider at the 4:00 pm EST close on that date; the platform resolves outcomes according to its published settlement rules once that official value is available.
The market lists 60 discrete outcomes on the event page; each outcome corresponds to a specific price point or bin shown on that page—consult the market interface to see the exact mapping between outcome labels and S&P levels.
The market close time is listed as TBD and will be shown on the platform; settlement uses the March 6, 2026 4:00 pm EST price and payouts occur after the platform verifies the official settlement value according to its resolution timeline.
Corporate actions affecting constituents are reflected in the index calculation used to produce the official closing value; major adjustments or methodology notes would be handled per the index provider and platform settlement rules—check the platform for any special-handling notices.
Review scheduled economic releases, central bank events and speeches, large-cap earnings around March 6, recent intraday volatility patterns, and current liquidity; also note the market's present participation level (total volume traded on this market: $298) as an indicator of activity.