| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 27, 2026; it matters because that closing level summarizes market participants' views on economic data, corporate earnings, and risk events leading into that date.
The S&P 500 is a float-adjusted market-cap-weighted index representing large-cap U.S. equities; its closing value on a given day is a widely used barometer of U.S. equity market performance. Events that typically shape the index over the weeks before March 27 include monetary policy pronouncements, March economic releases, the Q1 earnings calendar, and any major geopolitical developments.
Odds in this prediction market reflect the collective expectations of traders about which price bucket will contain the index at the specified time; treat those odds as a dynamic, information-driven signal rather than a guaranteed prediction.
This market resolves to the official S&P 500 index value at 4:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 27, 2026; check the Kalshi market page for the formal resolution timestamp and any settlement window.
Kalshi specifies the index or data vendor used for settlement in the market's rules; consult the market description and settlement documentation on the Kalshi page to see which published S&P 500 value will be the official reference.
The 60 outcomes divide the possible S&P 500 closing range on March 27 into discrete buckets; the market page lists the bucket boundaries or labels so you can see which price intervals each outcome represents.
Settlement follows Kalshi's resolution rules: if an abnormal close or halt affects the official published index value at 4:00 PM EDT, the platform will use the defined contingency procedure in the market rules (for example, using the published index value, an official exchange release, or contacting support for clarification). Review the market's terms for the exact fallback process.
Corporate actions and index composition changes are reflected in the published S&P 500 index calculation and therefore affect the settled closing value; the market settles to the index value as published at 4:00 PM EDT, so those actions are implicitly incorporated into outcomes.