| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 26, 2026; it matters because that timestamp is the official U.S. equity market close and is used by traders and institutions for pricing, hedging, and performance measurement.
The S&P index level at a given close reflects the cumulative effect of macroeconomic data, monetary policy expectations, corporate earnings, and risk events that unfold up to that moment. March 26, 2026 occurs during the Q1 calendar window when central-bank communications, first-quarter corporate results, and seasonal rebalancing can all shape the index close. Historical volatility around major macro announcements means late-day moves can materially change the final close compared with intraday levels.
Prediction-market odds here represent the market's aggregated view about which price range (outcome bin) is most likely to contain the official S&P level at 4pm EDT; they are dynamic signals, not guarantees, and will change as new information arrives.
It refers to the official published value of the referenced S&P index at the U.S. cash-market close on that date; the contract will settle to the bin or outcome that contains that official close as defined in the market's settlement rules.
The 60 outcomes are contiguous price buckets covering a range of possible index levels; the market's event page or contract specification lists the exact boundaries and the outcome that contains the official 4pm close is the winning one.
Resolution follows the market's contingency/settlement policy — typically using the last official published closing or an alternate reference explicitly specified by the contract; check the event's settlement rules for the exact fallback mechanism.
The contract will specify the authoritative data source (for example, the official S&P index publication or a primary exchange feed); consult the event details to confirm which provider is the settlement reference.
Watch FOMC meeting dates and statements, major CPI and employment releases, the largest S&P constituent earnings dates in Q1, scheduled index rebalances or corporate actions, and any geopolitical developments that could shift market risk sentiment.