| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00pm EDT on March 20, 2026, and matters because it lets traders express views on where the index will close on that specific business day.
The S&P 500 is a broad US equity benchmark whose intraday and closing level reflect thousands of companies, macro data, monetary policy, and market microstructure. This Kalshi market offers 60 discrete outcomes—usually price ranges or exact-point bins—and currently shows no recorded trading volume and a closing time listed as TBD; consult the market page for the definitive outcome partitions and settlement source.
Market odds represent the collective market participants' expectations about which outcome will be the actual S&P level at the specified time; they update in real time as new information arrives and should be read as a snapshot of market sentiment, not an immutable forecast.
It refers to the official S&P 500 index level at the U.S. market close time of 4:00pm Eastern Daylight Time on March 20, 2026, as defined by the market's settlement rules; check the market page for the specified data source used to settle the contract.
Outcomes are typically arranged as discrete price bins or exact-point levels; the winning outcome is the bin that contains the official closing S&P 500 value at 4:00pm EDT on the settlement date—refer to the market description for exact bin boundaries and tie-breaking rules.
Trading close and resolution procedures are determined by the market operator and may be listed as TBD on the page; if U.S. exchanges close early, the market’s predefined fallback/resolution rules apply—check the event rules for the precise contingency protocol.
Most such markets reference the official S&P 500 closing value as published by S&P Dow Jones Indices or another named price-feeder; the exact source is specified in the market’s settlement terms—always confirm on the market page.
Index composition changes or corporate actions are reflected in the official index level and therefore can influence the settled value; routine rebalances are accounted for by the index provider, while one-off trades and liquidity events can affect the intraday path and the closing print that determines the winning outcome.