| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM Eastern on March 18, 2026; it matters because that single reference price is widely used by traders and risk managers for hedging and benchmarking.
The S&P 500 is a broad US equity benchmark composed of large-cap U.S. companies, and the 4:00 PM EDT timestamp corresponds to the regular U.S. cash-market close. Markets can move based on company earnings, central bank communications, macro data, and geopolitical events in the days and hours leading up to that close; this contract captures the market consensus for that exact moment. The market offers 60 discrete outcomes allowing participants to express views across a wide range of possible index levels.
Market prices on this platform reflect the aggregation of participant beliefs about which discrete outcome will be true at the settlement time; treat those prices as real-time, market-implied signals rather than guarantees.
It settles to the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM Eastern on March 18, 2026 as specified in the market's terms; the precise data feed or index administrator used for settlement is defined by the contract rules on the platform.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined S&P 500 level or price bucket listed on the market page; view the outcome list on the trading interface for the exact numeric ranges and labels for all 60 outcomes.
The market's trade-closure time is listed on the platform (here shown as TBD); after 4:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026 the designated official index price will be used for settlement and the platform will post the resolved outcome once the index administrator's value is available.
Watch major corporate earnings cycles for S&P constituents, Fed-related announcements and minutes, and high-impact U.S. macro releases (inflation and employment reports) occurring in the days leading up to March 18, as these commonly alter market expectations ahead of the close.
Price discovery is driven by a mix of participants including institutional traders and hedge funds, retail traders, market makers and liquidity providers on the platform, and those hedging exposure to the underlying S&P 500 via futures, options, or cash positions.