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S&P price on Mar 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
60
Markets
60

Trade This Market

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Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (60)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
6,900 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,850 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,875 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,400 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,825 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,050 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,475 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,600 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,225 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,025 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,250 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,500 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,275 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
5,975 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,350 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,525 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,075 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,775 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,175 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,675 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,125 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,225 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,950 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,000 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,150 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
5,950 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,150 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,550 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,575 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,800 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
5,925 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,200 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,325 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,450 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,925 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,200 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,000 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,425 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,625 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,650 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,750 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,075 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,050 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,375 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,725 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,175 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,700 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,300 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
5,900 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,300 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,025 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,250 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,275 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,325 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,100 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,125 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,100 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,375 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,350 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,975 or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks what the level of the S&P 500 index will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 16, 2026; it matters because single-date index outcomes concentrate information about expected market conditions on that specific close. Traders use these events to express views about near-term macro, corporate, and liquidity-driven moves in U.S. equities.

The S&P 500 is a market-cap-weighted index representing large-cap U.S. equities; its end-of-day level reflects aggregated price moves across sectors, reactions to news, and intraday flows. Events tied to a single settlement timestamp (the 4:00 PM EDT close) embed expectations about scheduled macro data, corporate earnings, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments that are anticipated to influence markets around that date.

Prediction market odds on this market summarize how participants collectively price each discrete outcome for the S&P level at the specified close; interpret odds as a market consensus on relative likelihoods across the listed outcomes, not fixed forecasts. Because odds move with new information and trading, they are best used alongside fundamental and technical analysis rather than as sole inputs.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly is being measured at 4:00 PM EDT on March 16, 2026 for this event?

The event is tied to the published level of the S&P 500 index at 4:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on that date — effectively the index's official close at that timestamp as reported by major market data providers; check the event page for the platform's exact data source or settlement reference if you need the precise reporter.

How are the 60 outcomes organized and what do they represent for this S&P close?

The 60 outcomes represent a partitioning of possible S&P 500 closing levels into discrete buckets (individual price ranges or specific ticks) that cover a wide range of potential index values; each outcome corresponds to a single bucket that will be the winner if the index close falls within its defined range — consult the event’s outcome list for the exact bucket boundaries.

When does trading for this specific market stop and what does 'Closes: TBD' mean?

'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not yet announced the final trading cutoff for this market; the platform will publish a specific close time before trading ends — you must place orders before the platform’s announced cutoff to participate in final price discovery.

How will the market be settled if U.S. exchanges are halted or the official close is delayed on March 16, 2026?

Settlement will follow the event’s published rules and data source: typically the official S&P 500 value at 4:00 PM EDT as reported by the designated provider; if exchanges are halted or the close is delayed, the platform will apply its contingency rules (for example using the last official published value or an alternative authoritative source) — always review the event’s settlement policy for exact procedures.

Given the market shows $0 total volume traded so far, how should I think about liquidity and price reliability for this market?

Zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity and wider spreads between buys and sells, so quoted odds may not reflect broad participation; low liquidity increases execution risk and means individual trades can move market-implied odds substantially, so consider order size, available counterparties, and whether you are comfortable providing or taking liquidity.

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