| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 13, 2026; it matters because the index level at the US cash close summarizes market consensus at the end of that trading day and determines settlement of the market.
The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted benchmark of large-cap U.S. equities and moves with macro data, interest-rate expectations, corporate earnings, and geopolitical developments. U.S. equity markets have an official close at 4:00 PM EDT and that close can be influenced by a closing auction and end-of-day order flow. This specific Kalshi market offers 60 discrete outcomes that represent different price buckets for the S&P level at the close.
Prices in this prediction market reflect the market's collective expectation about which price bucket will contain the S&P level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 13, 2026; treat market prices as relative odds that update as new information arrives.
The event uses the S&P 500 index level recorded at 4:00:00 PM EDT on March 13, 2026; consult the market's resolution documentation on Kalshi for the precise timestamp format and any tie-breaking rules.
Settlement will use the authoritative index level specified in the market's resolution terms (typically the official S&P 500 cash index as published by the index administrator or an exchange feed); confirm the exact data source on the market page.
Only information available and reflected in trading at or before 4:00 PM EDT can affect the recorded close; news released after 4:00 PM EDT will not change the value used for this market's settlement, while earlier news can influence the close through intraday trading.
Kalshi's resolution policy will specify fallback procedures—common approaches include using the last official quote, the closing auction price if available, or an alternative authoritative feed; check the market's resolution rules for the exact fallback hierarchy.
The 60 outcomes divide the possible S&P levels at the close into discrete price buckets; each outcome on the market page is labeled with its numeric bounds, so review those labels to understand which index values correspond to each outcome before trading.