| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,575 or above | 97% | 89¢ | 97¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 24% | 24¢ | 30¢ | — | $504 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 40% | 37¢ | 41¢ | — | $481 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 77% | 57¢ | 64¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $127 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 5% | 68¢ | 75¢ | — | $91 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 99% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 95% | 85¢ | 93¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 99% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| 6,800 or above | 19% | 19¢ | 20¢ | — | $60 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 15% | 1¢ | 8¢ | — | $54 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 53% | 46¢ | 53¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 90% | 75¢ | 82¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 81¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 12, 2026; it matters because that timestamp is the contract's settlement point and reflects market expectations about equities at a specific, investable moment.
The S&P 500 is the most widely followed U.S. large-cap equity benchmark; prices through early 2026 have been driven by monetary policy expectations, earnings, and macro data. This contract offers a granular view—60 discrete outcomes—so traders can express beliefs about a narrow range of possible closing levels; current liquidity ($2,875 traded so far) affects ease of entry and exit.
Market prices for this contract aggregate participant beliefs about the S&P level at that exact timestamp and update as new information arrives; interpret them as the market's current consensus direction and relative confidence, not as fixed forecasts.
The contract resolves to the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 12, 2026 as published by the market data provider defined in the contract terms; the platform then maps that published level to the appropriate outcome on the event grid.
The 60 outcomes partition the possible index values at settlement into discrete labeled price points or intervals; when the official 4:00 PM reading is published, the single outcome whose label or interval contains that reading is the winning outcome.
Settlement occurs at the official 4:00 PM EDT index reading on March 12, 2026; the contract’s close time is listed as TBD—check the platform’s market page for the final trading cutoff and any last‑trade acceptance rules as the date approaches.
Large moves can reflect new macro data, earnings surprises, futures gaps, or liquidity shifts; verify the underlying news (data releases, corporate announcements, market‑wide events) and check related instruments (S&P futures, options, ETFs) to assess whether the move is information‑driven or liquidity‑driven.
Settlement follows the platform’s rulebook: most platforms use the initially published official value at the settlement timestamp; if a later correction occurs, the platform’s dispute and adjustment procedures (if any) govern outcomes—review the contract’s settlement and appeals policy for specifics.