| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,800 or above | 61% | 61¢ | 63¢ | — | $584 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 49% | 48¢ | 51¢ | — | $516 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 70% | 70¢ | 76¢ | — | $227 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 99% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 32% | 32¢ | 39¢ | — | $193 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 90% | 89¢ | 96¢ | — | $163 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $145 | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 93% | 87¢ | 94¢ | — | $92 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 96% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 13% | 5¢ | 12¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 23% | 15¢ | 22¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 83% | 84¢ | 90¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 93% | 92¢ | 99¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026; it matters because it gives a market-implied snapshot of expectations for the U.S. equity benchmark at a specific timestamp.
The S&P 500 is a broad U.S. equity index influenced by macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and monetary policy. Conditions in early 2026—including inflation dynamics, central bank decisions, earnings season activity, and geopolitical developments—will help shape where the index stands on that date.
Market odds aggregate participant views about which discrete price-range outcome will contain the closing index level at 4pm EDT; treat odds as a dynamic, real-time consensus that changes as new information arrives rather than as a guaranteed prediction.
It will settle to the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026 as published by the data source specified in the market’s rules; the single outcome whose predefined price range contains that published closing level is the winning outcome.
The 60 outcomes are predefined, mutually exclusive price ranges or exact-point outcomes visible on the market page—identify the outcome labels to see the boundaries, and the outcome whose range contains the published closing level will settle as the winner.
The market follows the contingency and settlement procedures in its rulebook: common approaches include using an alternate approved data provider, the last available official published price, or postponing settlement until a verifiable price is available—consult the market’s settlement policy for the exact procedure.
Monitor economic calendar entries and central bank communications around that date (e.g., inflation/employment prints and Fed-related releases), major earnings reports from large-cap S&P constituents, any index reconstitution dates, and potential geopolitical developments that could move equities.
Yes—relatively low total volume combined with many discrete outcomes can lead to thinner liquidity and wider spreads in many outcome buckets; traders should consider potential slippage, order-book depth, and how much activity is concentrated in particular ranges before placing large orders.