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S&P price on Mar 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

📊 $2K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$2K
Open Interest
1,792
Active Markets
60
Markets
60

Trade This Market

Yes Bid
Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (60)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
6,800 or above 61%
61¢ 63¢ $584 Trade →
6,825 or above 49%
48¢ 51¢ $516 Trade →
6,775 or above 70%
70¢ 76¢ $227 Trade →
6,550 or above 99%
95¢ 100¢ $200 Trade →
6,850 or above 32%
32¢ 39¢ $193 Trade →
6,675 or above 90%
89¢ 96¢ $163 Trade →
6,975 or above 2%
$145 Trade →
6,700 or above 93%
87¢ 94¢ $92 Trade →
6,600 or above 96%
93¢ 100¢ $70 Trade →
6,950 or above 2%
$48 Trade →
6,750 or above 80%
79¢ 80¢ $38 Trade →
6,900 or above 13%
12¢ $15 Trade →
6,875 or above 23%
15¢ 22¢ $7 Trade →
6,725 or above 83%
84¢ 90¢ $3 Trade →
6,650 or above 93%
92¢ 99¢ $2 Trade →
6,425 or above 0%
98¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,350 or above 0%
98¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,525 or above 0%
95¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,925 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,375 or above 0%
98¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,025 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,050 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,500 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,275 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,500 or above 0%
95¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,225 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,225 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,125 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,075 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,100 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,250 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,300 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,325 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,175 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,125 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,100 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,075 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,150 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,200 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,250 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,300 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,150 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,275 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,350 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,450 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,425 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,475 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,400 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,375 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,175 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,325 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
7,000 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,475 or above 0%
95¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,450 or above 0%
98¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,400 or above 0%
98¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,575 or above 0%
94¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,025 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
6,200 or above 0%
99¢ 100¢ $0 Trade →
7,050 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
6,625 or above 0%
93¢ 99¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks what the S&P 500 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026; it matters because it gives a market-implied snapshot of expectations for the U.S. equity benchmark at a specific timestamp.

The S&P 500 is a broad U.S. equity index influenced by macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and monetary policy. Conditions in early 2026—including inflation dynamics, central bank decisions, earnings season activity, and geopolitical developments—will help shape where the index stands on that date.

Market odds aggregate participant views about which discrete price-range outcome will contain the closing index level at 4pm EDT; treat odds as a dynamic, real-time consensus that changes as new information arrives rather than as a guaranteed prediction.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How exactly will this market settle for the S&P price on Mar 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

It will settle to the official S&P 500 index level at 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026 as published by the data source specified in the market’s rules; the single outcome whose predefined price range contains that published closing level is the winning outcome.

How are the 60 outcomes structured and how do I know which outcome corresponds to a given closing level?

The 60 outcomes are predefined, mutually exclusive price ranges or exact-point outcomes visible on the market page—identify the outcome labels to see the boundaries, and the outcome whose range contains the published closing level will settle as the winner.

What happens if the exchange or data provider does not publish a 4pm EDT S&P value on Mar 11, 2026 or if there is a late revision?

The market follows the contingency and settlement procedures in its rulebook: common approaches include using an alternate approved data provider, the last available official published price, or postponing settlement until a verifiable price is available—consult the market’s settlement policy for the exact procedure.

Which scheduled events should I monitor when assessing this market for Mar 11, 2026?

Monitor economic calendar entries and central bank communications around that date (e.g., inflation/employment prints and Fed-related releases), major earnings reports from large-cap S&P constituents, any index reconstitution dates, and potential geopolitical developments that could move equities.

Does the current traded volume ($2,303) and the fact there are 60 outcomes affect trading or price discovery for this specific market?

Yes—relatively low total volume combined with many discrete outcomes can lead to thinner liquidity and wider spreads in many outcome buckets; traders should consider potential slippage, order-book depth, and how much activity is concentrated in particular ranges before placing large orders.

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