| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,800 or above | 67% | 64¢ | 71¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 6,700 or above | 87% | 89¢ | 97¢ | — | $705 | Trade → |
| 6,825 or above | 34% | 50¢ | 56¢ | — | $670 | Trade → |
| 6,750 or above | 85% | 85¢ | 89¢ | — | $418 | Trade → |
| 6,850 or above | 35% | 32¢ | 37¢ | — | $387 | Trade → |
| 6,775 or above | 65% | 78¢ | 80¢ | — | $379 | Trade → |
| 6,675 or above | 90% | 93¢ | 98¢ | — | $223 | Trade → |
| 6,725 or above | 90% | 88¢ | 94¢ | — | $218 | Trade → |
| 6,925 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $182 | Trade → |
| 6,525 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| 6,975 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $96 | Trade → |
| 6,875 or above | 12% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| 6,900 or above | 3% | 5¢ | 12¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| 6,600 or above | 92% | 94¢ | 99¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| 7,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| 7,050 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,950 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,075 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,350 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,500 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,625 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,575 or above | 0% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,125 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,475 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,550 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,425 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,325 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,175 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,375 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,425 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,275 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,325 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,025 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,175 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,275 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,225 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,975 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,225 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,125 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,075 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,025 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,050 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,650 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,450 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,375 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the S&P price will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 10, 2026; it provides a time‑specific way for traders to express and aggregate views about equity market conditions on that calendar day.
The settled S&P level on that date will incorporate everything that happens up to the market close on March 10, 2026 — including macro data, corporate earnings, central bank communication, and any geopolitical or liquidity shocks. Markets around that date are driven by a mix of cyclical economic indicators, corporate fundamentals for index constituents, and cross‑asset flows.
Prices in this prediction market reflect the collective expectations of participants and update as new information arrives; treat market prices as a real‑time signal to combine with your own analysis and risk management rather than as definitive forecasts.
Check the market's contract specification on the exchange page to see the precise settlement instrument and data vendor; the contract will state whether it uses the cash S&P 500 index, an exchange‑reported close, or a specific price feed.
The 60 outcomes are the discrete price buckets or labeled ranges defined by the market maker; consult the event page for the exact bucket boundaries and settlement rules that map the final observed index level to one outcome.
Trading end and settlement timing are governed by the platform's rules and the specific contract terms; if 'TBD' appears, watch the market page or platform announcements for updates about the official trade cutoff and settlement schedule.
The contract specification names the data vendor or reference exchange used for settlement; that data provider's published level at the stated timestamp becomes the official reference and the platform follows its dispute and verification procedures if questions arise.
Index methodology adjusts for corporate actions, so those adjustments are reflected in the reported index level; large reallocations, reconstitutions, or constituent shocks can still materially move the index and thus affect which outcome settles.