| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Beat: $14,128 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the price movement of the Rolex Submariner Date 41, reference 126610LV, commonly known as the 'Starbucks,' relative to its market valuation at the start of April. It provides a way to speculate on the secondary market performance of one of the world's most sought-after luxury timepieces.
The 'Starbucks' model is a modern iteration of the classic green-bezel Submariner, replacing the discontinued 'Hulk.' Its price trajectory is highly sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, shifts in discretionary spending, and changes in the luxury watch secondary market liquidity. Investors and collectors monitor this model as a bellwether for the overall health of the pre-owned Rolex market.
Market participants use the collective sentiment reflected here to gauge whether the secondary market price for the Starbucks Submariner is trending toward an increase or decrease by the specified date.
This market tracks the Rolex Submariner Date 41mm, reference 126610LV, featuring the black dial and green ceramic bezel, known colloquially as the 'Starbucks'.
The settlement is based on the prevailing secondary market price or verified index data for the 126610LV as of the specified date in April.
While MSRP sets the floor for initial retail, this market focuses on the secondary market price, which is driven by supply and demand dynamics in the open resale market.
The market remains open for participants to adjust their positions based on new data; the final outcome will be determined by the specific price data at the close of the event.
Secondary watch prices often correlate with seasonal spending habits and tax season liquidity, which can influence buying activity for luxury goods in the spring months.