| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Beat: $12,275 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market tracks the secondary market price movement of the Rolex Submariner 41 Date (Reference 126610LN) during the month of April. It provides a financial benchmark for luxury watch market trends, reflecting real-time shifts in collector demand and supply.
The Rolex Submariner is a cornerstone of the secondary watch market, often serving as a bellwether for the overall health of luxury horology investments. Prices are driven by a combination of retail availability, macroeconomic conditions, and the brand's secondary market liquidity. Traders monitor this model to gauge shifts in sentiment toward blue-chip luxury assets.
The market outcome is determined by comparing the average secondary market price of the watch at the beginning of the month against the price at the close of the period.
This event tracks the Rolex Submariner 41 Date, specifically the black dial and black bezel reference 126610LN.
The market utilizes reputable secondary market watch exchange indexes that aggregate verified transaction prices for this specific reference.
The outcome is based on the delta between the reference price at the start of the defined month and the reference price at the end of the month.
No, the market tracks the asset's market value, excluding transaction-related costs, taxes, or premium service fees.
No, the market tracks secondary market fluctuations, which are independent of the official retail price set by the manufacturer.