| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $92 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $93 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $94 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $95 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $96 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $97 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $98 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $99 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $101 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $102 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $103 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $104 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $105 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $106 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on April 15, 2026. Traders use this to hedge against long-term energy price volatility or speculate on macroeconomic trends influencing global commodity markets.
WTI is the primary benchmark for US oil pricing, deeply influenced by supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical stability. Factors such as OPEC+ production policies, global industrial output, and the transition toward alternative energy sources frequently create long-term price fluctuations for this asset.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of future WTI values based on the information available to participants at any given time.
The market resolves based on the official daily settlement price for WTI crude oil futures as reported by the NYMEX for the specified date.
As this market targets a date in 2026, it is sensitive to long-term secular trends rather than short-term market noise or immediate geopolitical shocks.
Because oil is globally denominated in USD, shifts in the strength of the U.S. dollar are inherently factored into the price outcomes.
Interest rate environments influence the cost of capital for energy projects and overall economic demand, both of which are critical to long-term oil pricing.
Yes, changes in environmental regulations, carbon taxes, or government drilling policies can significantly alter the supply-side expectations for WTI crude.