| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $2.885 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.890 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.895 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.900 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.905 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.910 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.915 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.920 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.925 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.930 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.935 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.940 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.945 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.950 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.955 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.960 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.965 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.970 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.975 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.980 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.985 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.990 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.995 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.005 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.010 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.015 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.020 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.025 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.030 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.035 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.040 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.045 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.050 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.055 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.060 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.065 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.070 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.075 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.080 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.085 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.090 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.095 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.100 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.105 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.110 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.115 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.120 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.125 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.130 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.135 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.140 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.145 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.150 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.155 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.160 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.165 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.170 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.175 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.180 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the referenced natural gas price will be at 5:00 PM EDT on March 30, 2026; it matters because that timestamp becomes the single data point used to determine which of the listed outcomes resolves. Traders, portfolio managers, and hedgers use such events to express views on short-term price moves and to hedge exposure around that specific settlement time.
Natural gas prices are driven by a mix of supply, demand, storage levels, weather, and infrastructure constraints; late March sits in the seasonal 'shoulder' period when heating demand is fading but cooling demand has not yet ramped, so prices can be sensitive to short-term weather swings and inventory surprises. Market structure—including pipeline flows, LNG export volumes, and any scheduled or unscheduled maintenance or outages—can produce rapid moves; market participants also monitor macroeconomic news, fuel-switching economics, and regulatory actions that affect production or exports.
Prediction market odds for this event reflect collective expectations about the official reference price at the specified timestamp and resolve to the one outcome that matches the official price source and rounding rules. Interpret odds as market-implied consensus and signals about which price range participants expect at 5pm EDT on March 30, 2026, but always cross-check the event's official resolution rules before trading.
The event's official resolution source, units (for example, USD per MMBtu), and any rounding or timing conventions are defined in the market rules on the event page; consult that resolution clause to see which exchange, index, or spot feed will be used to produce the official price at 5:00 PM EDT.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD'; the market page will specify the trading cutoff. Many markets close a short time before the official settlement to avoid last-second anomalies, so check the event details for the exact trade lock time.
Outcome structure (exact-price points versus price-range bins) and how prices map to outcomes are listed on the event outcome panel; each outcome corresponds to a defined price interval or value, and the outcome whose interval contains the official reference price at 5pm EDT will resolve as the winner.
Contingency and fallback resolution procedures are typically specified in the market rules; common approaches include using the nearest available official publication, a specified alternate data source, or a delayed resolution once the original source becomes available—so review the event's resolution policy for the exact fallback.
Near-settlement moves are usually driven by short-term fundamental updates (e.g., last-minute weather model changes or operational outage reports), flow and storage data releases, large trader operations or block trades, changes in LNG nominations/flows, and any unexpected regulatory or grid events that affect supply or demand.