| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $2.834 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.844 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.854 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.864 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.874 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.884 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.894 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.904 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.914 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.924 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.934 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.944 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.954 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.964 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.974 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.984 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $2.994 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.004 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.014 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.024 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.034 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.044 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.054 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.064 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.074 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.084 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.094 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.104 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.114 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.124 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.134 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.144 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.154 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.164 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.174 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.184 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.194 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.204 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.214 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $3.224 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the natural gas price will be at 5:00 PM EDT on April 3, 2026; it matters to traders and hedgers who need to gauge short‑term price expectations around that timestamp.
Natural gas prices are driven by a mix of seasonal demand, storage levels, production flows, export volumes and short‑term weather. Around early April, markets often react to the winter-to-spring transition, inventory reports, pipeline maintenance and global LNG demand, any of which can create volatility near the settlement date.
Prediction market odds aggregate participant views about which outcome will occur at settlement and update as new information arrives. Treat the odds as a live indicator of market expectations and combine them with fundamentals and official price series for decision making.
Settlement will use the price source and methodology specified on the Kalshi event page for this market; check the event's 'settlement' or 'data source' field to see which exchange/index and timestamp are authoritative.
The event's close time is listed on the Kalshi page (shown as TBD until the platform sets it); the outcome is determined by the reference price at 5:00 PM EDT on April 3, 2026 as recorded by the specified data source, with finalization occurring after Kalshi processes and verifies that reference.
Each of the 40 outcomes corresponds to a defined price level or price range shown in the outcomes list on the event page; the outcome whose interval includes the reference price at settlement is the winning outcome.
The event's settlement rules outline fallback procedures—typically an alternate data source, nearby timestamp, or dispute resolution process; consult the event's settlement rules or Kalshi support for the precise fallback hierarchy and dispute timeline.
Watch updated short‑range weather models for consuming regions, any weekly inventory or midweek storage updates, announcements of pipeline or plant outages/repairs, LNG cargo schedule changes, and front‑month futures price action and liquidity, as these items can materially shift the expected reference price near settlement.