| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 64% | 58¢ | 66¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 22% | 17¢ | 25¢ | — | $461 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 11% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $433 | Trade → |
| 23,599.99 or below | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $419 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 18% | 10¢ | 18¢ | — | $385 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $254 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $208 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $193 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $130 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 16% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $114 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 40% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 26,300 to 26,399.99 | 6% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 40% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 6% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which predefined price range will contain the Nasdaq-100 index level at the U.S. market close (4:00pm EDT) on March 9, 2026. It matters because the closing index value is a common reference for short-term trading outcomes, settlement events, and same-day risk assessments.
The Nasdaq-100 is heavily weighted toward large-cap technology and growth-oriented firms, so its close often reflects the combined effect of tech earnings, macro releases, and sector-specific headlines. Early March dates frequently lie inside quarterly reporting windows and scheduled economic-data cycles, which can increase day-to-day volatility. Because settlement uses the official close, end-of-day liquidity, institutional rebalancing, and order flow can disproportionately affect the final value.
Prediction market prices summarize the market’s collective demand for each listed range as the most likely outcome at the specified timestamp; they are not immutable forecasts. Treat prices as a real-time indicator of consensus that can shift rapidly as new information arrives before settlement.
It refers to the official Nasdaq-100 index level at 4:00pm Eastern on March 9, 2026, mapped into one of the discrete, mutually exclusive price-range outcomes listed on the market.
The platform will announce the lock/closing time and the specific data source used for settlement; outcome determination normally uses the official index close published by the exchange or index administrator and the platform’s stated settlement rules, so monitor the market page for the exact lock time and data provider.
Yes—earnings from large Nasdaq-100 firms, scheduled macro prints, or major company-level headlines on or shortly before March 9 can move share prices and meaningfully shift the index level at the 4pm close.
The largest market-cap and top-weighted constituents—typically big-cap tech, internet, software, and semiconductor firms—tend to have the largest influence, so pronounced moves in any of those names can move the index materially.
Participants may use outcomes to express a directional or range-based view for the close or to hedge short-horizon exposure tied to the index; practical steps include sizing positions relative to exposure, monitoring scheduled news, and understanding platform fees and settlement mechanics—this is educational information, not investment advice.