| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 11% | 0¢ | 14¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 3% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| 23,599.99 or below | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 13% | 1¢ | 27¢ | — | $736 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 4% | 3¢ | 50¢ | — | $725 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $418 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 15% | 2¢ | 14¢ | — | $371 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $188 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 11% | 0¢ | 22¢ | — | $178 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 26% | 0¢ | 18¢ | — | $169 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $153 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 8% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $137 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 14¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 9% | 2¢ | 21¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 15% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 to 26,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 index will fall into at 4:00 PM EST on March 6, 2026; it matters because that index level captures the market state at a specific, widely followed timestamp and is used by traders to express views on near-term equity-market outcomes.
The Nasdaq-100 is a market-cap-weighted index of large nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, dominated by technology and growth-oriented firms. Between now and March 6, 2026, movements will reflect macroeconomic developments, corporate earnings from major constituents, and any market-moving geopolitical or policy events that occur in the interim.
Prediction market prices represent collective market expectations for each discrete outcome; in this event they indicate how market participants are allocating capital across mutually exclusive price-range buckets rather than giving a single definitive forecast.
Settlement will use the official Nasdaq-100 index level at 4:00 PM EST on March 6, 2026 as published by the index administrator or the designated pricing source referenced in the market rules.
The platform sets the trading cutoff for this market; it may close before the settlement timestamp to allow final reconciliation—check the market page or platform rules for the exact trade cutoff for this event.
Outcomes are organized into 30 mutually exclusive price-range buckets covering a continuum of possible Nasdaq-100 index levels at the settlement time; each contract corresponds to one specific interval and only the bucket containing the official settlement value pays out.
Settlement follows the index value as published on the settlement timestamp; corporate actions and methodology changes implemented by the index provider are reflected in that published level and therefore implicitly affect the market outcome—consult the platform's force-majeure and adjustment policies for edge cases.
Traders should monitor major U.S. economic releases and central-bank communications, earnings reports from large Nasdaq-100 components, and any planned corporate or regulatory announcements; unexpected geopolitical developments and overnight moves in international markets can also materially affect the index before 4pm EST.