| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,499.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 index will fall into at 4:00 PM EST on March 4, 2026; it matters because traders use such markets to express views on market-level moves for that specific timestamp. Outcome settlement determines which of the thirty predefined price bands contains the official index value at that moment.
The Nasdaq-100 is a large-cap, tech-heavy index whose level reflects price moves across major nonfinancial Nasdaq-listed firms. By early March, headline drivers often include recent earnings from large technology components, monetary policy expectations, and any macroeconomic releases due that week. This market isolates the snapshot value at the close time rather than intraday ranges or longer-term performance.
Market prices on this market reflect the crowd’s assessment of which predefined price band will contain the index at the settlement timestamp; they change in real time as new information arrives. For final settlement, the observed official Nasdaq-100 level at 4:00 PM EST on March 4, 2026 is mapped to the corresponding outcome band listed on the event page.
Settlement is based on the official Nasdaq-100 index level as observed at 4:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on March 4, 2026, using the market’s specified data source; that index value is then placed into the predefined price band to determine the winning outcome.
The thirty outcomes are contiguous, non-overlapping price bands that together cover a range of possible index levels; the exact numeric endpoints for each band are published on the event page and in the market’s terms and conditions.
Resolution of exact-boundary cases follows the market’s settlement rules; those rules specify whether an endpoint is inclusive or exclusive—check the event page and the platform’s official settlement policy for the tie-breaking convention that applies to this market.
The settlement timestamp is 4:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on March 4, 2026; convert to your local zone accordingly (on that date EST is UTC−5); the platform uses that fixed timestamp for determining the index observation.
If a halt, disruption, or data revision affects the official index at the settlement time, the platform’s contingency and dispute-resolution procedures govern settlement—review the event’s rules for guidance on alternative data sources, delay windows, or protest mechanisms.