| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,499.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price interval the Nasdaq-100 index will fall into at 4:00 PM EST on March 3, 2026. It matters because the settlement captures market expectations for that exact moment and aggregates traders' views on near-term risks and catalysts.
The Nasdaq-100 is a large-cap, technology- and growth-oriented index whose value is driven by the performance of its biggest constituents and broader economic conditions. Early March often coincides with corporate earnings season, scheduled economic releases, and central bank communications, all of which have historically contributed to short-term swings in the index. Market structure factors such as index rebalancing, option expirations, and large fund flows can also amplify moves around a settlement date.
Prediction market prices reflect the collective judgment of participants about which predefined price interval will contain the Nasdaq-100 at the specified settlement time; they update as new information arrives and should be read as a market-implied consensus rather than a guaranteed forecast.
It means the contract will settle to whichever predefined price interval contains the official Nasdaq-100 index value at 4:00 PM EST on March 3, 2026, using the index value reported or adopted by the platform's settlement rules.
The platform lists each outcome's price interval in the market details; check the market description on the trading interface for the exact low and high boundaries of all 30 ranges.
Corporate earnings from large Nasdaq-100 companies, any major U.S. economic releases or inflation readings, and central bank speeches or policy statements in the lead-up to Mar 3 are the most typical catalysts.
Intraday moves and after-hours news can shift the index before the 4:00 PM settlement; the settled outcome depends on the official index value at exactly 4:00 PM EST, so late-breaking information that changes prices before that timestamp will affect which interval wins.
Settlement will follow the platform's contingency provisions—commonly using the official exchange-reported close, a last published index value, or a rule-specified alternative; consult the market's terms and the platform's settlement policy for the definitive procedure.