| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22,899.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 to 22,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 to 23,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 to 23,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 to 23,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 to 23,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 will be in at 4:00 p.m. EDT on March 27, 2026. It matters because the index level at the close is a common reference for portfolio valuations, option settlements, and short-term trading views.
The Nasdaq-100 is a tech-heavy index composed of large-cap non-financial companies; its close on a given day aggregates company-specific news, macroeconomic releases, and market-flow dynamics. Late March often coincides with corporate earnings season, end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing and options expirations — all of which can amplify moves into the close.
Market prices on this contract reflect collective expectations about which range the index will fall into at the specified timestamp and will update as new information arrives. Treat those prices as market-implied relative likelihoods, not certainties.
It refers to the official U.S. equity market close time in Eastern Daylight/Standard Time (4:00 p.m. EDT), and the outcome is based on the index level recorded at or immediately following the Nasdaq closing auction as defined by the event's settlement rule.
Settlement is based on the specific index/data provider named in the event rules on the platform; consult the Kalshi event page for the exact price source and tie-breaking methodology used for this market.
Earnings surprises from large-weighted constituents can materially move the index during intraday trading and into the close; the net effect depends on which companies report, their weights in the index, and whether results arrive before or after the 4:00 p.m. close.
Releases that hit before or during regular trading hours can cause price volatility and shifting odds into the close; releases after the market close generally do not affect the 4:00 p.m. index level used to determine this event's outcome.
If a halt or cancellation occurs, the platform will follow the event's predefined contingency rules — for example using the last official published index level, a delayed official close, or postponing settlement; check the Kalshi event rules for the exact contingency protocol.