| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,199.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 to 23,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 to 23,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which predefined price range the Nasdaq-100 index will be in at 4:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026. It matters because it provides a traded view on where market participants expect the index to close at that specific time, useful for hedging and short-term forecasting.
The Nasdaq-100 is a technology- and growth-heavy index whose same-day level is driven by macro releases, monetary policy signals, and company-level news from major constituents. Late winter/early-spring trading often overlaps with corporate earnings seasons and scheduled economic data, both of which can create elevated volatility on a specific settlement date. This particular market lists 30 discrete outcome buckets and currently shows no traded volume and a closing time listed as TBD, so check the event page for updates before trading.
Market prices are the market’s aggregation of participant expectations for which bucket will contain the index at 4:00 PM EDT; they move as new information arrives. When interpreting prices here, consider the market’s liquidity, the number of outcome buckets (30), and how rapidly relevant news can change the index level before settlement.
Settlement is based on the Nasdaq-100 index value recorded at 4:00 PM EDT on Mar 18, 2026 as provided by the event’s nominated index/data provider; consult the event rules for the specific vendor and tie-breaking procedures.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined numeric price interval for the Nasdaq-100; the exact lower and upper bounds for every bucket are listed on the event page or in the market specification linked from the event.
Some markets abide by the index provider’s final published value including post-close corrections; others settle on the initial reported value—check the event’s settlement rules to see whether post-publication adjustments are accepted and how long challenge windows last.
Earnings surprises, guidance changes, or large moves in heavyweight constituents can shift the entire index by multiple points intraday, potentially moving the index across range boundaries and altering which outcome settles.
Zero or low traded volume implies limited price discovery and wider transaction costs; with 30 granular outcomes, thin liquidity can make execution costly and increases the risk that posted prices do not reflect a broad consensus.