| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 to 23,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 to 23,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 to 23,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 to 23,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,899.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 to 22,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 will be in at 4:00pm EDT on March 17, 2026 and lets participants trade on that closing value. It matters because it aggregates real-time information about macro data, earnings, and market structure into a single market-implied view of the index at the close.
The Nasdaq-100 is a tech- and growth-heavy index whose intraday level reflects large-cap technology companies, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Mid-March often coincides with corporate earnings, options expirations, and scheduled economic releases that can increase intraday volatility, while index rebalancing or major corporate actions can shift the likely closing range. This market's 30 discrete outcomes divide the plausible closing-price spectrum so traders can express granular views.
Market odds indicate the collective assessment of which discrete price range participants expect at the designated close and will update as new information arrives. Treat them as a dynamic signal of market-implied expectations, not as an immutable fact.
Settlement uses the official Nasdaq-100 index value at 4:00pm Eastern Daylight Time on March 17, 2026 as published by the designated index data provider; that single close snapshot determines which outcome range is selected.
The 30 outcomes partition the possible Nasdaq-100 closing prices into contiguous numeric ranges; the platform's event page displays the specific boundary values for each outcome which determine settlement eligibility.
Yes—announcements released before or during U.S. market hours and prior to 4:00pm EDT can move the index and therefore change which outcome applies; items released after 4:00pm EDT typically do not affect this event's settlement.
The market will follow the platform's contingency and settlement rules, which typically specify a hierarchy of data sources (official close, last verifiable trade, or delayed official indication) to determine the settlement price; consult the platform rulebook for the exact procedures.
No—the outcome ranges and settlement rules are fixed at market creation; while volume and open interest can influence market prices up to the close, they do not alter the defined ranges or the settlement mechanism.