| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,100 to 23,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 to 23,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,099.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 to 23,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 index will be in at 4:00pm EDT on March 16, 2026, using 30 discrete outcome buckets. It matters because that timestamp captures the regular-session close and aggregates the market impact of corporate news, macro data, and investor flows on large-cap technology and growth names.
The Nasdaq-100 is a capitalization-weighted index composed of 100 large non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq, heavily influenced by major tech and growth firms. Expectations for the index level on this date will reflect the run-up to the close, including any scheduled economic releases, company earnings, and market-moving headlines that arrive before 4pm EDT. KALSHI’s structure splits the final index value into 30 mutually exclusive price-range outcomes so traders can take directional and magnitude views.
Market prices on this contract represent the collective view of participants and will move as new information arrives; they are real-time indicators of consensus expectations, not guarantees of the final result.
The event listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD'; the platform will publish the official closing time on the KALSHI event page. Trading normally continues until the stated close, so monitor the market page for updates and notices from the exchange.
Resolution is based on the official Nasdaq-100 index level as reported by the market data provider specified in the contract rules; consult the event’s terms on KALSHI for the named data source, timestamp conventions, and tie-break or rounding procedures.
The 30 outcomes are contiguous, non-overlapping price-range buckets that together cover the index value continuum for that timestamp; exactly one bucket will resolve true at settlement according to the published numeric boundaries.
Material company news can move the constituent’s stock and therefore the index; the timing of the release (pre-market, during the session, or after-hours) matters because the index level used at 4pm reflects prices during the regular trading session and will incorporate news released before that time.
Zero or low historical volume indicates limited liquidity, which can lead to wider spreads and greater price impact for trades; check the live order book, available depth, and the platform’s minimum increment rules before placing orders to understand execution risk.