| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,499.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 index will fall into at 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026; outcomes let traders express views on the likely level of the index at that exact observation time. It matters because it provides a way to hedge or speculate on near-term movements in a major equity benchmark tied to large-cap U.S. growth stocks.
The Nasdaq-100 is a tech- and growth-oriented index whose intraday level reflects macroeconomic data, central bank policy expectations, large-cap earnings, and risk sentiment. Markets that partition an index into discrete ranges are popular for binary or categorical forecasting because they convert a continuous price into a set of tradable outcomes and can highlight where traders cluster expectations.
Market prices across the listed outcomes represent the collective, tradable assessment of which range will contain the index at the specified time and should be read as relative likelihoods rather than guarantees. Prices update as new information arrives; consult the market rules for exact settlement mechanics.
Closes: TBD means the official end of trading has not been set on the market page; check the KALSHI market description for updates and monitor announcements because the exchange may set a final trade cutoff prior to settlement.
Each of the 30 outcomes corresponds to a specific, contiguous Nasdaq-100 index range defined in the market's outcome list; refer to the market page to view the exact lower and upper bounds for every outcome before trading.
A volume of $0 indicates no trades have occurred yet; low or zero volume can mean wider spreads and lower liquidity, so consider execution risk and check order book depth before placing significant positions.
Settlement will use the reference price specified in the market's official rules or data-source field on KALSHI; always confirm the named index provider or feed on the market page because that determines the authoritative observation.
Tie-breaking and boundary inclusion rules (for example, whether ranges are inclusive of the lower or upper bound) are specified in the market's settlement rules; check those rules to see how exact-boundary cases are resolved.