| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,199.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 to 24,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 to 25,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 to 25,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 to 24,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 to 24,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 to 24,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 to 24,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 to 23,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 to 23,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 to 23,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 to 23,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 to 24,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 39¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 to 23,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 to 25,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range the Nasdaq-100 will be in at 4:00 PM EDT on March 10, 2026 — a way to trade or hedge expectations about the index's level at that specific moment.
The Nasdaq-100 is a technology- and growth-heavy index whose short-term moves reflect a mix of macro policy, interest-rate expectations, and large-cap technology company performance. Markets in early March often react to recent economic data, corporate earnings cycles, and shifts in investor risk appetite, all of which can influence the index heading into the March 10 settlement time.
Prediction market prices represent the market consensus about which price-range outcome will be true at settlement; prices move as participants incorporate new information and risk preferences. Use the market as a real-time aggregator of expectations, remembering that prices change continuously as news and order flow arrive.
The 30 outcomes partition the possible index values at the 4:00 PM EDT settlement into contiguous price buckets; each outcome corresponds to one specific range. Consult the market page for the exact numeric boundaries and labels for each outcome.
Settlement uses the official Nasdaq-100 level at 4:00 PM EDT as determined by the market's referenced data vendor or exchange feed. The contract rules on the market page list the exact data source and any rounding conventions.
The contract includes contingency procedures for missing or disrupted prints—typically a fallback to the last reliable published value or a specified alternative window. Check the market rules for the precise fallback and dispute resolution process.
Settlement is tied to the index level at 4:00 PM EDT (regular session), so after-hours and premarket trades do not directly determine the settled outcome, though they influence how the market prices the event beforehand.
Monitor scheduled U.S. macro releases near that date, earnings and guidance from major Nasdaq-100 firms, central-bank speeches or minutes, known large expiries or rebalances, and any emerging geopolitical or market-stress developments—any of these can shift the index level at settlement.