| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22,400 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 23% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 97% | 92¢ | 99¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 70% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 92% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 80% | 72¢ | 96¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 93% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $902 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 92% | 11¢ | 85¢ | — | $831 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $693 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $633 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 87% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $426 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 99% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $411 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 13% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $290 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $183 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 87% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $150 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $128 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 89% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $84 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 7% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $39 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 51% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 94% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 89% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 81% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 93% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 25% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 51% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 22% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 78% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 89% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 18% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 27,900 or above | 22% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026; that moment is commonly used as the U.S. equity market close and matters for settlement, index-linked products, and short‑term trading decisions.
The Nasdaq-100 tracks the largest nonfinancial companies listed on Nasdaq and is heavily weighted toward technology and growth-oriented firms. Movements in the index reflect a combination of corporate earnings, sector rotation, macroeconomic data, central bank policy expectations, and large-cap flows. Historical episodes of volatility in the index have often coincided with rapid changes in interest-rate expectations, major earnings surprises, or geopolitical shocks.
Odds in this market represent how traders are pricing different index-level outcomes given available information; they are an information aggregation signal, not a guarantee of the realized closing level.
The market resolves to the official Nasdaq-100 index level at 4:00:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026 as reported by the index calculation agent or the price source specified by the platform; the single timestamp at 4:00 PM EDT is used for settlement.
The market is divided into 60 discrete outcome buckets (e.g., price bands or specific tick levels) that each correspond to a range or value of the index at the 4:00 PM EDT timestamp; which bucket wins depends on where the official index value falls at settlement.
Earnings surprises from large constituents can move their share prices intraday and therefore shift the index level; any such moves that are reflected in the official index calculation at 4:00 PM EDT will be incorporated into the resolved outcome.
If markets are halted or close early, the platform will follow its published rules for extraordinary market events—typically using the official index value available at the resolution timestamp or an alternative published methodology; check platform event rules and announcements for the definitive procedure.
Yes—index methodology adjusts for corporate actions so that splits and similar events are reflected in constituent weighting and the published index level; any reconstitution effective before the resolution timestamp will be reflected in the official index value used to determine the outcome.