| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27,200 or above | 50% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $240 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 15% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $226 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 15% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $220 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 11% | 11¢ | 69¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 50% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 91% | 29¢ | 89¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 29% | 29¢ | 89¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 99% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 99% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 99% | 11¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 10¢ | 71¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks where the Nasdaq-100 index will be at the close of U.S. trading on March 4, 2026 (4:00pm EST). It matters because that specific timestamp captures the combined effect of macro news, earnings, and intraday order flow on a major tech-heavy index.
The Nasdaq-100 is a large-cap, growth- and technology‑heavy index whose level is dominated by a handful of megacap constituents. Between now and March 4, 2026, key background drivers include the macroeconomic environment, monetary policy expectations, corporate earnings schedules for major components, and any index methodology or constituent changes announced before that date.
Market prices for the outcomes reflect the aggregate beliefs of traders about the index level at the stated timestamp and update as new information arrives. They are a real-time sentiment signal, not a guaranteed prediction of the final index value.
The contract resolves to the official Nasdaq-100 index value at exactly 4:00:00pm Eastern on March 4, 2026 as published by the index administrator; the market’s rules specify the data source used for settlement, so check the event listing for that reference.
No. This market ties to the 4:00pm EST regular-session reading; price moves outside regular trading hours (after-hours/pre-market) are not used for the settlement timestamp unless the event rules explicitly say otherwise.
Corporate actions (splits, large one‑time dividends) and official index methodology or constituent changes enacted before the settlement timestamp will be reflected in the published index value; traders should monitor corporate calendars for major constituents.
They represent discrete price buckets or specific index levels covering a range of plausible Nasdaq-100 close values on that date; each outcome is defined in the market listing and pays out if the official close falls within that bucket or equals the specified level.
Relatively low volume indicates limited liquidity, meaning prices can move significantly on small trades and may reflect views of a few participants; interpret signals cautiously and consider liquidity when entering or exiting positions.