| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at the New York market close (4:00pm EDT) on March 25, 2026; it matters because the index's closing price summarizes market sentiment for large-cap U.S. growth and technology stocks at that moment and is widely used as a benchmark by traders and funds.
The Nasdaq-100 tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq and is heavily weighted toward technology and growth names. In the run-up to March 25, 2026, factors such as corporate earnings schedules, recent policy communications from the Federal Reserve, and macroeconomic releases will set the near-term backdrop for the index.
Prediction market prices reflect the market consensus about which discrete price-range outcome will be true at the specified settlement time; use them as a real-time, aggregate signal of trader expectations while remembering they can shift quickly as new information arrives.
It refers to the official Nasdaq-100 index level at the New York market close (4:00pm EDT) on March 25, 2026 as published by standard market data sources; that closing value determines which discrete outcome wins.
The event divides the possible Nasdaq-100 closing levels into 60 discrete price intervals or point targets; each outcome corresponds to one of those intervals, and only the interval containing the official closing level resolves as correct.
No — settlement is tied to the official 4:00pm EDT close; after-hours or pre-market trading on other days does not change the index value used for resolution unless the official close is adjusted by the index provider or exchange.
If the exchange cancels or significantly alters the normal close, the event will resolve according to the platform's published resolution policies; participants should consult KALSHI's rules for force majeure or special-resolution procedures.
Monitor scheduled earnings from large Nasdaq-100 constituents, any Fed speeches or policy statements, major U.S. economic releases (inflation or labor data) and significant geopolitical developments, as these items are the most likely to move the index prior to the 4pm EDT close.