| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,000 or above | 27% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 83% | 92¢ | 97¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 6% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 99% | 96¢ | 99¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $972 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $828 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $745 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $541 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $424 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 96% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $389 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $365 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $192 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $58 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 94% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $16 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 27,700 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 93% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 50% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00pm EST on March 2, 2026; it matters for traders, hedgers, and observers who want to take a position on the U.S. large-cap technology- and growth-heavy equity benchmark at a specific timestamp.
The Nasdaq-100 tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq and is concentrated in technology, communications, and consumer-discretionary names. Between now and March 2, 2026, macroeconomic releases, central bank decisions, major corporate earnings, and geopolitical developments can move the index; index composition changes and corporate actions (splits, M&A) can also produce discrete effects. This event settles to a single published index level at the specified 4:00pm EST timestamp rather than an intraday average.
Prediction market odds aggregate participants' views about which discrete price bucket will contain the index at settlement; interpret odds as a real-time market signal that updates with news and order flow, not as a guaranteed forecast.
The event will settle using the price source specified in the market's rules on the hosting platform; typically that is the official Nasdaq-100 index level published at 4:00pm ET by the index publisher or a designated data vendor. Always check the event page for the exact data feed and any vendor fallbacks.
Each of the 60 outcomes corresponds to a predefined price interval shown on the market page; at settlement the outcome whose interval contains the official index value at 4:00pm EST on March 2, 2026 is declared the winner. Review the event page for exact interval endpoints and closed/open endpoint convention.
Contingency and force majeure rules are defined on the market page; common approaches include using the last available official value, applying an alternate specified feed, or postponing/voiding settlement per the platform's rules. Traders should review the event's contingency provisions prior to trading.
The 4:00pm EST timestamp corresponds to the regular U.S. equity session close; the published index level at that time generally reflects regular-session prices. After-hours or pre-market prints are typically excluded unless the index methodology or event rules explicitly include post-close adjustments—check the published methodology.
The disclosed volume is a snapshot of activity to date and can indicate overall interest; a higher total typically means deeper liquidity. Having 60 discrete outcomes spreads liquidity across more buckets, which can reduce depth in any single outcome—inspect current order books, spreads, and open interest for the specific buckets you plan to trade.