Nasdaq-100 price on Mar 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?

The market close time is listed on the KALSHI event page (Closes: TBD); final settlement will use the Nasdaq-100 level at 2:00 PM ET on March 2, 2026 as determined by the data feed and settlement rules specified in the market contract—check the event's official rules for the exact data source and any fallback procedures.

Settlement typically relies on an official index value from the designated market-data provider or consolidated tape at the specified timestamp; the market description on KALSHI should identify the data feed, rounding conventions, and what happens if the feed is unavailable.

The 400 outcomes partition the plausible range of Nasdaq-100 levels into discrete buckets or ticks (each outcome representing a specific interval or value); outcome labels on the event page show the exact boundaries so you can see which level each outcome corresponds to.

Yes — material earnings, guidance updates, or corporate actions published before the settlement timestamp can move the index; whether an item timestamped exactly at 2:00:00 affects settlement depends on how the chosen data vendor records prices, so consult the market's settlement rules for edge cases.

Total traded volume is a snapshot of participation to date; with many outcomes (400) and modest total volume, individual outcome buckets may be thinly traded, which can create wider effective spreads and execution risk—monitor the live order book depth and recent trade activity before placing large positions.