| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00pm EDT on March 19, 2026; it matters because that index level captures market consensus about tech- and growth-stock performance at a specific, investable timestamp.
The Nasdaq-100 is a large-cap, technology- and growth-oriented index whose level reflects price moves of its constituent stocks and adjustments by the index provider. Between now and the settlement timestamp, movements will reflect earnings from major components, macroeconomic data, central bank policy, and any corporate actions affecting index constituents.
Market odds on this contract express the crowd-implied likelihood of each outcome at the time you view it and will change as new information arrives; treat them as a summary of market information rather than a deterministic forecast.
The explicit market close is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement will be based on the official Nasdaq-100 index level at 4:00pm EDT on March 19, 2026 as published by the index provider — check the Kalshi market page for the platform's final closing and settlement rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price bucket or specific value range as shown on the market interface; the winning outcome is the one whose range contains the published index level at the settlement timestamp, so confirm the exact boundaries listed on the Kalshi market page before trading.
Low or zero traded volume indicates limited liquidity and that market odds may not reflect broad information flow; low liquidity can lead to wider bid/ask spreads and more volatile prices when trades do occur, so factor that into position sizing and execution strategy.
Index providers adjust index calculations to reflect corporate actions so the published Nasdaq-100 level at the settlement time will already incorporate those adjustments; if an extraordinary event prevents a published value at 4:00pm EDT, refer to the exchange’s stated fallback and Kalshi’s resolution policy for how the contract will be settled.
Key movers include Federal Reserve releases and speeches, major US economic releases (CPI, PCE, employment), earnings from the index’s largest constituents announced in the relevant reporting window, and any primary geopolitical events — monitor the economic calendar and corporate earnings calendar leading up to the settlement date.