| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026; it matters because that timestamp is the official end-of-day reference for many traders, funds, and derivative settlements. Outcome movements reflect broad tech- and growth-stock performance and short-term macro and corporate news flow.
The Nasdaq-100 is a market-cap-weighted index concentrated in technology and growth-oriented companies; its level is sensitive to earnings from large constituents, interest-rate expectations, and sentiment toward growth assets. March 18, 2026 falls in the first-quarter reporting window and near periodic macro releases, so both company-specific reports and broader economic data can be material drivers.
Prices in this KALSHI market represent the market's collective expectation of the official Nasdaq-100 index value at the specified time and update as new information arrives; they are best used alongside fundamentals, calendar awareness, and position-sizing rules.
Settlement is based on the official Nasdaq-100 index value published by the index provider at 4:00 PM EDT on March 18, 2026; check the event's rule page for the precise data vendor and publication source used by the market.
Earnings announced and priced into market quotes before 4:00 PM EDT on March 18 can move component stocks and therefore the index level; earnings released after 4:00 PM will not affect that settlement timestamp.
If a halt or closure prevents a published 4:00 PM value, the contract follows the platform's contingency rules—typically using the last official published index value or another predefined fallback—so consult KALSHI's event-rulebook for the exact procedure.
Corporate actions are incorporated by the index provider's methodology and any adjustments will be reflected in the official index value used for settlement at 4:00 PM; traders should monitor announced actions that are effective on or before the reference date.
Monitor scheduled macro releases (CPI, PPI, payrolls), major companies' earnings and guidance within the Nasdaq-100, large options expirations, ETF rebalances, and any central-bank communications that could alter rates or risk sentiment ahead of the 4:00 PM close.