| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,800 or above | 1% | 4¢ | 41¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 2¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 51¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 53¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 59¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 0% | 48¢ | 87¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 46¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 51¢ | 82¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 51¢ | 83¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 51¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 0% | 34¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 11¢ | 46¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 20¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 0% | 30¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 26¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 15¢ | 61¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 8¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 8¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 2¢ | 40¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00pm EDT on March 12, 2026, a commonly used reference for the performance of large-cap U.S. technology and growth stocks. The settled level matters for traders, portfolio mark-to-market decisions, and anyone tracking short-term index outcomes.
The Nasdaq-100 is a modified-capitalization-weighted index of 100 large non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange; its moves are often driven by a handful of very large-cap technology and growth firms. Around any given settlement date, the index reflects the interaction of company-specific news (earnings, guidance, M&A), macroeconomic releases, monetary policy expectations, and intraday market flows.
Prediction market odds summarize the collective expectations of participants about which discrete price outcome will be the settlement value at 4:00pm EDT; they update as new information arrives and should be interpreted as a real-time market consensus rather than a guaranteed forecast.
Settlement will be based on the official Nasdaq-100 index level published at 4:00:00 PM EDT for the regular U.S. trading session on Mar 12, 2026 as reported by the designated market data feed used by the platform; only quotes/trades within the regular session up to that timestamp are considered.
Each of the 60 listed outcomes corresponds to a specific index level or price bracket shown on the market page; after the official 4:00pm EDT index value is published, exactly one outcome will be marked as the correct resolution according to the outcome definitions posted on the event page.
No—because settlement is anchored to the 4:00pm EDT regular-session index level, moves that occur exclusively in pre-market or after-hours sessions outside regular trading will not change the value used to resolve this market.
Check the earnings calendar for major Nasdaq-100 constituents reporting that day, the U.S. economic data release schedule, and any planned central bank speeches or policy announcements; these scheduled items are the most likely pre-known catalysts to drive index moves by the close.
Because the Nasdaq-100 is weighted by market capitalization, the largest-cap constituents will generally have the biggest impact; consult the index provider’s current constituent list and weights near Mar 12, 2026 to identify which companies are the primary drivers of the index on that date.